Financial Stress Index vs Bitcoin
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High Yield Credit - Bitcoin Halving Cycles
Credit & Debt
High-yield spreads have shown dramatic spikes during crisis periods: peaking during the 2008 financial crisis, spiking during the 2020 COVID market crash, and rising again during the 2022 inflation surge. Bitcoin's response to these risk-off periods has evolved: it didn't exist during the 2008 crisis, crashed alongside traditional markets in March 2020 but recovered much faster, and showed relative resilience during the 2022 credit concerns. The chart also reveals that all three Bitcoin halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) occurred during periods of relatively stable or declining credit spreads, potentially contributing to their bullish impact.
S&P500 vs Bitcoin - YoY
Market
Major market events are clearly visible on this chart. During the COVID-19 crash in March 2020, both assets briefly showed negative YoY returns, but Bitcoin rebounded much more dramatically while the S&P 500 returned to modest positive territory. The 2022 bear market saw both assets decline in tandem, highlighting increased correlation during stress periods. Bitcoin's YoY performance has consistently shown much higher highs (during 2017 and 2021 bull runs) and lower lows (in bear markets) compared to the S&P 500's more modest fluctuations.